Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:34:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd73e…4b96 crypto 1331 markets active 0h ago coverage 48d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$95 (-9%) realized −$95 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -59% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -68% what you keep after slip
Net edge-68%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate17%188W / 944L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day41.8pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$0
14 days+$2
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$28
other 6% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-62.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -10.0% -18.6% 88% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 401 -35.3% -41.5% 44% 1% -11.9%
≤90d 1132 -58.7% -62.6% 17% 1% -18.8%
all 1132 -58.7% -62.6% 17% 1% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.6% 1% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -66.2% 1% -26.6%
15% -69.5% 1% -33.7%
20% -72.5% 1% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -59% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -71% → late -47% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×3.66 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses188 / 944
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1132 / 1331
History coverage48d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day41.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1132 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2199 history records