Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd741…0b20
sports · 186 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$61 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses97 / 89
Est. fees paid−$162
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 186
History coverage62d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$133
14 days+$145
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 81¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports 77¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 77¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 70¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $87 +$12 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $70 +$17 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$33 +92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $167 −$59 -35%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 −$13 -44%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $28 +$5 +19%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$6 -28%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $80 +$35 +44%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$2 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$8 -39%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $71 −$8 -11%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $301 −$6 -2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 −$28 -91%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $41 +$12 +30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $214 +$102 +48%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$33 +109%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $137 +$14 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$5 -47%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$13 -64%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $30 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 +$15 +73%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$18 +37%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $31 +$20 +67%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $31 +$43 +140%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $20 −$6 -31%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$5 -27%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $20 +$17 +82%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$15 -75%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $20 +$20 +101%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $20 −$6 -32%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $20 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 +$14 +68%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 −$10 -48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner May 30 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $160 +$10 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $20 +$4 +21%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $20 +$11 +52%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $30 +$28 +93%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $122 +$88 +72%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $80 −$79 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $60 +$19 +32%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 23 $31 +$29 +93%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 23 $22 +$9 +40%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $20 +$2 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 23 $102 −$101 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$23
politics 1% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $99 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 87¢ $87 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $87 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $70 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $70 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $28 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 70¢ $43 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 39¢ $43 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $104 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 8¢ $4 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 30¢ $17 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 51¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 52¢ $20 21h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 66¢ $33 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 80¢ $15 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $10 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $28 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 33¢ $15 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 44¢ $20 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 78¢ $115 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $15 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 85¢ $12 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 35¢ $12 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 53¢ $49 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $20 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 53¢ $30 29h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 42¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 45¢ $7 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -3.1% -12.4% 50% 47% -1.0%
≤30d 73 -1.3% -10.7% 51% 47% -9.7%
≤90d 186 -1.2% -10.6% 52% 46% -8.9%
all 186 -1.2% -10.6% 52% 46% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 46% -8.9%
10% -19.2% 35% -17.6%
15% -27.0% 28% -25.6%
20% -34.2% 22% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 520 history records