trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $124 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 10 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | May 28 | $124 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 21 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $124 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $125 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $253 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Mar 20 | $253 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $253 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 13 | $253 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 12 | $254 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 10 | $253 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 07 | $254 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 07 | $256 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 29 | $256 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 29 | $249 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 06 | $246 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 04 | $244 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 03 | $247 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 02 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $245 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 31 | $248 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Dec 30 | $249 | $0 | +0% |