Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:10:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd750…a4d7
crypto · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses62 / 7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
History coverage232d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $71 $71 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $70 in April? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 8? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 19? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? Jun 03 $120 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26? May 26 $59 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? May 25 $61 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026? May 25 $3 −$2 -95%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24? May 25 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? May 21 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10? May 21 $122 $0 +0%
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? May 09 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5? May 07 $121 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 in April? May 04 $40 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? May 04 $81 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $70 in April? Apr 29 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on Ap Apr 29 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20? Apr 24 $123 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17? Apr 18 $27 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 18 $96 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 14? Apr 17 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 9? Apr 13 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on April 4? Apr 08 $42 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 4? Apr 08 $80 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 4? Apr 03 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? Apr 03 $124 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24? Apr 01 $124 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? Mar 24 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? Mar 20 $123 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Mar 19 $122 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Mar 13 $123 $0 +0%
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? Mar 09 $50 +$2 +3%
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? Mar 09 $71 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 1? Mar 04 $120 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? Mar 01 $121 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Feb 07 $120 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Feb 01 $58 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 01 $62 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 30 $33 +$1 +2%
Will Meta (META) finish week of January 19 above $660? Jan 30 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13? Jan 21 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11? Jan 12 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 7? Jan 11 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on January 6? Jan 07 $52 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jan 07 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 6? Jan 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 31? Jan 05 $120 $0 +0%
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? Dec 31 $19 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 27? Dec 31 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2 Dec 27 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20? Dec 25 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 15-21? Dec 25 $107 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21? Dec 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 15 above $280? Dec 20 $17 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$4
other 22% $0
weather 12% +$1
world 3% +$1
tech 3% $0
culture 1% $0
sports 1% +$14
economics 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $71 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $120 12d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $59 20d
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $61 20d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24? BUY No 100¢ $122 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 24d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $122 36d
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? BUY No 100¢ $122 38d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5? BUY No 100¢ $121 41d
Will Solana reach $110 in April? BUY No 100¢ $40 46d
Will Solana dip to $70 in April? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 46d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? BUY No 100¢ $81 46d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on Ap BUY No 100¢ $122 51d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $123 57d
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $96 58d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17? BUY No 100¢ $27 58d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 62d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 9? BUY No 100¢ $122 67d
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 4? BUY No 100¢ $80 72d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 4? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 72d
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on April 4? BUY No 100¢ $42 72d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $124 74d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $124 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? BUY No 100¢ $122 86d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $123 87d
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $122 92d
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $123 97d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 7 -14.2% -22.4% 86% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 26 -11.4% -19.9% 88% 0% -9.6%
all 69 -9.3% -17.9% 90% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 1% -9.3%
10% -25.8% 1% -18.0%
15% -32.9% 1% -25.9%
20% -39.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.28 · official $72.28 (match) · 134 history records