Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:41:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd758…e222
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses20 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage3d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$17 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$20 +28%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 14 $6 −$1 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +15%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 14 $8 +$3 +38%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 14 $24 +$11 +47%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 14 $30 +$31 +104%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 14 $342 +$65 +19%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 13 $11 +$1 +14%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 13 $75 −$36 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $74 −$26 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$4 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
ITF Women Decatur: Completed Match: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 44% +$73
crypto 39% −$31
sports 8% −$48
finance 7% −$26
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $70 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $70 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $70 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $70 5h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL No 84¢ $0 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 81¢ $4 7h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? SELL No 27¢ $5 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $6 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 79¢ $7 7h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 73¢ $11 7h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL Yes 65¢ $35 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 47¢ $57 7h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 51¢ $379 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 47¢ $5 11h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 46¢ $0 11h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 47¢ $0 12h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $1 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $7 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $1 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $4 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $6 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $1 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $20 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $6 18h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 25¢ $12 19h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 36¢ $36 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 68¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 45% -12.4%
≤30d 33 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 45% -12.4%
≤90d 33 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 45% -12.4%
all 33 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 45% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 45% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 27% -20.8%
15% -36.1% 15% -28.5%
20% -42.4% 3% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 214 history records