Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd75e…6c19
sports · 25 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$106 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$107 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$107
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses10 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)24 / 25
History coverage217d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-78%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Oh My God 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner T1 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Ninjas in Pyjamas 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $27 +$3 +12%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -47%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$14 +90%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$16 +220%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jan 28 $22 −$6 -28%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 28 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jan 28 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jan 28 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 28 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 26 $6 +$20 +332%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 26 $4 +$40 +1001%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jan 26 $4 −$2 -47%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 26 $20 +$31 +154%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 26 $73 +$6 +8%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jan 25 $66 +$23 +35%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 24 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 24 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 24 $46 −$4 -8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jan 24 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jan 24 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $23 −$6 -26%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 09 $10 +$14 +142%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 09 $5 −$1 -20%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 09 $25 +$19 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$76
other 13% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 50m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 72¢ $30 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $27 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 91¢ $29 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 85¢ $23 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $6 47h
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 40¢ $9 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance SELL Ninjas in Pyjamas 61¢ $9 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 42¢ $6 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance SELL EDward Gaming 56¢ $6 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance BUY EDward Gaming 59¢ $7 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 3¢ $1 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 8¢ $1 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 19¢ $2 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 19¢ $1 136d
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 34¢ $2 136d
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Oh My God 6¢ $1 136d
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Oh My God 15¢ $1 136d
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Oh My God 19¢ $1 136d
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana BUY Ultra Prime 11¢ $1 136d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend SELL Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $26 138d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Bilibili Gaming 5¢ $1 138d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +68.9% +52.8% 75% 75% +40.8%
≤30d 4 +68.9% +52.8% 75% 75% +40.8%
≤90d 4 +68.9% +52.8% 75% 75% +40.8%
all 24 +37.3% +24.2% 42% 38% +17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +24.2% 38% +17.3%
10% +12.3% 33% +6.0%
15% +1.4% 29% -4.2%
20% -8.5% 29% -13.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $0.23 (match) · 82 history records