Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:18:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd762…2800 crypto 516 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1140 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$5,333 (-11%) realized −$5,333 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -39% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -53% what you keep after slip
Net edge-53%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate33%243W / 504L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown79%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day1140.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$18,067
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1140 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-44.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 747 -38.9% -44.7% 33% 31% -2.2%
≤30d 747 -38.9% -44.7% 33% 31% -2.2%
≤90d 747 -38.9% -44.7% 33% 31% -2.2%
all 747 -38.9% -44.7% 33% 31% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1140.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.7% 31% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here -50.0% 29% -11.5%
15% -54.8% 24% -20.1%
20% -59.2% 20% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -39% · $-wt +8% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +22% → late -99% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$36 · ×2.52 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses243 / 504
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)747 / 516
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$98
Trades / day1140.1
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 747 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $165 −$165 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $71 −$71 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$6 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $29 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $46 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $42 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $14 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $39 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $38 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $52 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $37 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $19 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $19 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records