Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:57:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd778…662f
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses6 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage3d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day43.8
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $24 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -4.3% -13.4% 33% 22% -9.5%
≤30d 18 -4.3% -13.4% 33% 22% -9.5%
≤90d 18 -4.3% -13.4% 33% 22% -9.5%
all 18 -4.3% -13.4% 33% 22% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 22% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 0% -18.2%
15% -29.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -36.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records