Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:46:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd77e…891e crypto 469 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1762 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,506 (+7%) realized +$3,506 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -44% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -57% what you keep after slip
Net edge-57%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate27%249W / 679L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$110per market
Trades / day1762.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1762 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-49.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 928 -44.2% -49.5% 27% 24% -15.9%
≤30d 928 -44.2% -49.5% 27% 24% -15.9%
≤90d 928 -44.2% -49.5% 27% 24% -15.9%
all 928 -44.2% -49.5% 27% 24% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1762.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.5% 24% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -54.3% 21% -23.9%
15% -58.7% 18% -31.3%
20% -62.8% 14% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -44% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +9% → late -97% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$63 vs −$29 · ×2.16 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$3,506
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses249 / 679
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)928 / 469
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$110
Trades / day1762.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 928 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $0 +$1 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 27 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 27 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $115 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $134 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $71 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $191 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.76 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records