Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd793…49a1 crypto 444 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1723 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,460 (+3%) realized +$1,460 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -52% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -63% what you keep after slip
Net edge-63%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate25%222W / 676L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$112per market
Trades / day1722.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$842
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1723 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-56.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 898 -52.3% -56.8% 25% 21% -19.3%
≤30d 898 -52.3% -56.8% 25% 21% -19.3%
≤90d 898 -52.3% -56.8% 25% 21% -19.3%
all 898 -52.3% -56.8% 25% 21% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1722.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.8% 21% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -61.0% 17% -27.0%
15% -64.7% 13% -34.1%
20% -68.2% 9% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -52% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -9% → late -96% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$56 vs −$27 · ×2.05 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$1,460
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses222 / 676
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)898 / 444
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$112
Trades / day1722.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 898 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $0 +$1 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $531 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $221 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.58 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records