Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd798…6fea
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses21 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)38 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 32¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$11
sports 1% −$1
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -8.9% -17.6% 55% 53% -18.5%
≤30d 38 -8.9% -17.6% 55% 53% -18.5%
≤90d 38 -8.9% -17.6% 55% 53% -18.5%
all 38 -8.9% -17.6% 55% 53% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 53% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 37% -26.3%
15% -32.7% 26% -33.5%
20% -39.3% 18% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.10 · official $2.08 (match) · 118 history records