trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 41% | 29% | +5.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 41% | 29% | +5.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 41% | 29% | +5.4% |
| all | 17 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 41% | 29% | +5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.3% | 29% | +5.4% |
| 10% | -52.3% | 29% | -4.7% |
| 15% | -56.9% | 29% | -13.9% |
| 20% | -61.1% | 0% | -22.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $500 | $598 | +$98 (+20%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $114 | +$14 (+14%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 64¢ | 64¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 42¢ | 40¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 46¢ | 43¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 40¢ | 31¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-22%) |
| Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 4¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-74%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $606 | +$285 | +47% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $535 | +$232 | +43% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $65 | +$6 | +9% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $60 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $40 | +$20 | +50% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 22 | $56 | −$47 | -85% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $101 | −$64 | -64% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $233 | +$101 | +43% |