Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7c0…c2b4
crypto · 329 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$610 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$610 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$610
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses190 / 139
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)329 / 329
History coverage14d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,951
7 days−$537
14 days−$613
30 days−$610
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$24 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$30 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$14 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$632
other 0% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $38 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $35 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -7.3% -16.1% 61% 46% -9.7%
≤30d 329 -7.4% -16.2% 58% 46% -9.9%
≤90d 329 -7.4% -16.2% 58% 46% -9.9%
all 329 -7.4% -16.2% 58% 46% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 46% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 35% -18.5%
15% -31.6% 27% -26.4%
20% -38.3% 20% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1173 history records