Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7c3…69e0
crypto · 120 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$3,797 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,797 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,797
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses49 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage315d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7? No 5¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? No 69¢ 0¢ $855 $0 −$855 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2,800 $0 −$2,800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Jan 11 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jan 09 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jan 09 $10 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jan 09 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jan 08 $32 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jan 08 $100 −$68 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jan 08 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET Jan 08 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jan 08 $160 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jan 08 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET Jan 08 $180 +$85 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jan 08 $100 −$23 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jan 08 $30 +$69 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jan 08 $37 +$12 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jan 08 $30 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jan 08 $130 +$51 +39%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET Jan 08 $22 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$2,039
tech 13% −$839
world 9% −$898
other 4% −$18
politics 1% $0
sports 0% −$3
finance 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -14.6% -22.7% 36% 36% -22.9%
≤30d 33 -14.6% -22.7% 36% 36% -22.9%
≤90d 33 -14.6% -22.7% 36% 36% -22.9%
all 120 -9.3% -17.9% 41% 28% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 28% -25.7%
10% -25.8% 24% -32.8%
15% -32.9% 13% -39.3%
20% -39.5% 6% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 460 history records