Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7d0…5c52
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses22 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 93¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 93¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -10.9% -19.4% 67% 42% -25.2%
≤30d 33 -10.9% -19.4% 67% 42% -25.2%
≤90d 33 -10.9% -19.4% 67% 42% -25.2%
all 33 -10.9% -19.4% 67% 42% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 42% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 24% -32.4%
15% -34.1% 12% -38.9%
20% -40.6% 6% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.05 · official $2.05 (match) · 81 history records