Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7d7…d537
crypto · 1054 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$185 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$185 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses682 / 371
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1053 / 1054
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day66.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 1053 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$5
14 days−$102
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$169
other 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 502 -0.4% -9.9% 73% 73% -9.8%
≤30d 1053 -10.2% -18.8% 65% 64% -15.1%
≤90d 1053 -10.2% -18.8% 65% 64% -15.1%
all 1053 -10.2% -18.8% 65% 64% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 64% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 45% -23.2%
15% -33.6% 23% -30.7%
20% -40.1% 8% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.91 · official $0.91 (match) · 1817 history records