Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:24:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7d9…b34f
crypto · 531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2,982 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,952 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$2,952
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses206 / 323
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)529 / 531
History coverage708d
Avg bet$235
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 529 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$2
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 24¢ 23¢ $10 $10 −$1 (-5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $24 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $24 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $24 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $23 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31? Jun 01 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30? May 30 $23 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? May 29 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? May 28 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27? May 27 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? May 26 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? May 25 $23 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? May 24 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? May 23 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? May 22 $23 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? May 22 $0 $0 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? May 21 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? May 20 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19? May 19 $22 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? May 18 $22 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? May 17 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? May 16 $1,345 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15? May 15 $1,317 +$28 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? May 14 $1,307 +$11 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? May 14 $1,318 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13? May 13 $33 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13? May 13 $1,242 +$17 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12? May 12 $1,265 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11? May 11 $1,255 +$11 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? May 10 $1,259 +$30 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9? May 09 $1,246 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8? May 08 $1,237 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? May 07 $1,304 −$14 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6? May 06 $1,204 +$47 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5? May 05 $1,186 +$18 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4? May 04 $193 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4? May 04 $961 +$28 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3? May 03 $521 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3? May 03 $127 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? May 03 $39 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2? May 03 $39 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1? May 02 $39 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$376
sports 3% +$2,774
politics 1% −$180
other 0% −$8
world 0% −$11
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $25 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 99¢ $24 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 98¢ $24 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 99¢ $24 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $24 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? BUY No 98¢ $23 11d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $16 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30? BUY Yes 99¢ $23 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 16d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 17d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $23 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? BUY No 99¢ $23 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? BUY No 99¢ $23 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? BUY No 0¢ $0 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 24d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19? BUY No 99¢ $22 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? BUY Yes 99¢ $22 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 31 -2.7% -12.0% 97% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 116 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.1%
all 529 -30.9% -37.5% 39% 3% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.5% 3% -7.4%
10% -43.5% 2% -16.2%
15% -48.9% 2% -24.3%
20% -53.9% 2% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.31 · official $34.31 (match) · 1635 history records