Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7ee…0e97
world · 200 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,578 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,547 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,574
Realized−$14,547
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses101 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$128
Open positions2
Markets (closed)198 / 200
History coverage216d
Avg bet$3,289
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,761
7 days−$1,709
14 days+$1,225
30 days+$2,343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $6,416 $6,411 −$5 (-0%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 45¢ 50¢ $147 $162 +$15 (+10%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 12 $3,002 +$15 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $9,018 −$575 -6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $417 −$136 -33%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $4,794 −$282 -6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 11 $3,819 −$689 -18%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $3,156 −$420 -13%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Jun 11 $745 −$250 -34%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $3,198 −$316 -10%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $1,562 −$107 -7%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $4,807 −$352 -7%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 09 $96 +$8 +8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $18,811 +$333 +2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $13,291 +$901 +7%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $494 +$161 +33%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May? Jun 04 $848 +$423 +50%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $13,073 +$197 +2%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? Jun 03 $44 −$20 -46%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 01 $4,271 +$128 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 01 $13,337 +$1,333 +10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? May 31 $3,949 +$12 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $13,923 +$658 +5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? May 30 $3,304 +$204 +6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? May 29 $546 +$13 +2%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 27 $294 −$6 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? May 27 $15 −$12 -77%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? May 27 $632 +$40 +6%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 26 $18 $0 +2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? May 26 $18 +$2 +10%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 26 $18 +$12 +69%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? May 26 $70 +$1 +1%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? May 25 $669 +$88 +13%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? May 25 $467 −$9 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 24 $322 +$4 +1%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? May 24 $44 −$1 -2%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? May 24 $398 −$106 -27%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23? May 24 $146 +$5 +3%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? May 23 $26 −$17 -65%
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? May 16 $9,761 +$1,380 +14%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 15 $480 −$276 -58%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 07 $1,481 −$488 -33%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? May 06 $2,739 +$390 +14%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? May 04 $2 +$1 +36%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 02 $124 +$28 +22%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 01 $4,284 −$252 -6%
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April? May 01 $1,905 +$998 +52%
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" today? Apr 28 $90 +$86 +96%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? Apr 24 $5,397 −$2,956 -55%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? Apr 24 $1,984 −$1,019 -51%
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? Apr 23 $9,243 −$186 -2%
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less tha Apr 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 81% +$2,930
politics 12% −$12,423
other 4% −$5,035
sports 2% −$7
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $667 21m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $65 22m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2,074 23m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? SELL No 98¢ $2,806 1h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $500 1h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? SELL No 99¢ $500 4h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 96¢ $2,749 5h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $3,609 5h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $8,243 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 24¢ $280 13h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1,997 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $37 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $11 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $9 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $9 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $8 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $20 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $2,051 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $812 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $5 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $17 20h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY Yes 45¢ $147 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 36¢ $400 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 35¢ $17 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 29¢ $123 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 29¢ $2 21h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 60¢ $329 21h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $1,425 23h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 36¢ $410 23h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 67¢ $928 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -6.0% -14.9% 36% 7% -11.8%
≤30d 39 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 13% -7.9%
≤90d 103 -8.9% -17.6% 46% 22% -8.8%
all 198 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 19% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 19% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 10% -20.0%
15% -29.2% 7% -27.7%
20% -36.1% 4% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,573.68 · official $6,573.68 (match) · 3205 history records