Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd7f9…29a9 sports 906 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (235 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$464 (+4%) realized +$472 · open −$8
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate47%593W / 657L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day234.6pace
Fees−$87est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 61% +$288
crypto 28% +$50
other 11% +$33
world 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (235 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 799 -38.8% -44.6% 32% 12% -40.6%
≤30d 1250 -18.3% -26.1% 47% 28% -26.2%
≤90d 1250 -18.3% -26.1% 47% 28% -26.2%
all 1250 -18.3% -26.1% 47% 28% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 28% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.2% 19% -33.2%
15% -39.6% 14% -39.7%
20% -45.5% 10% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -19% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -49% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$472
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses593 / 657
Est. fees paid−$87
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1250 / 906
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day234.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1250 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 499 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw? Jun 17 $0 +$5 +7232%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
1. FC Nürnberg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Jun 17 $20 −$22 -107%
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) Jun 17 $23 −$27 -115%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Jun 17 $2 +$6 +277%
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia vs. Kosovo end in a draw? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-13.5) Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parry Jun 17 $26 −$4 -17%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $33 −$39 -119%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 17 $88 −$87 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 17 $20 −$24 -120%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Santos: Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Valencia: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adolfo Vallejo Jun 17 $1 +$1 +79%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC end in a draw? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $143 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $114 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 3500 history records