trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 57% | 57% | +0.8% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +59.6% | +44.4% | 52% | 52% | +22.1% |
| ≤90d | 31 | +70.0% | +53.8% | 55% | 55% | +45.5% |
| all | 33 | +64.6% | +49.0% | 55% | 55% | +38.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +49.0% | 55% | +38.1% |
| 10% | +34.7% | 48% | +24.8% |
| 15% | +21.7% | 45% | +12.8% |
| 20% | +9.8% | 42% | +1.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | Conor McGregor | 34¢ | 34¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $43 | $51 | +$8 (+19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $141 | +$22 | +16% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $90 | +$32 | +36% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $39 | +$7 | +17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 28 | $25 | −$12 | -48% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | −$21 | -42% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | +$23 | +152% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Netherlands win o | Jun 20 | $10 | +$9 | +88% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 AND Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams | Jun 20 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 20 | $38 | −$27 | -70% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $17 | +$14 | +79% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 | Jun 18 | $5 | +$60 | +1164% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$15 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 15 | $25 | −$21 | -86% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$15 | -79% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $63 | +$235 | +372% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | +$13 | +262% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $30 | +$23 | +75% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $29 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $200 | −$49 | -25% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$16 | +158% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matc | Jun 02 | $10 | +$13 | +124% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $60 | +$246 | +414% |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? | May 10 | $14 | +$4 | +27% |
| Big Game: First Team To Score | Mar 25 | $45 | +$28 | +63% |
| Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | Feb 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |