trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 23 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 52% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $47 | $47 | +$0 (+0%) |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 46¢ | 54¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 02 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $87 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 29 | $27 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 28 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Yoon in jail before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 28 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 20 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 31 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +0% |