Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd80e…fa27
crypto · 997 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$243
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses585 / 327
Open positions85
Markets (closed)912 / 997
History coverage56d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 85 History 912 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$104
14 days+$44
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $10 $27 +$18 (+178%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? Yes 16¢ 100¢ $3 $16 +$14 (+524%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$7 (+186%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? Yes 15¢ 100¢ $1 $9 +$7 (+566%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? Yes 17¢ 52¢ $2 $7 +$4 (+206%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? Yes 36¢ 42¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 32¢ 44¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+39%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15? Yes 9¢ 34¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+283%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? Yes 34¢ 36¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15? Yes 16¢ 26¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+63%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15? Yes 40¢ 44¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 44¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 15? Yes 39¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15? Yes 32¢ 42¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15? Yes 24¢ 32¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+31%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? Yes 30¢ 25¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 15? Yes 36¢ 38¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? Yes 31¢ 36¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 16? Yes 38¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15? Yes 32¢ 23¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$10 +770%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $8 +$15 +196%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $6 +$11 +166%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $3 +$9 +271%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $1 +$12 +963%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $1 +$8 +585%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? Jun 14 $5 +$6 +121%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$10 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$20 +770%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$5 +185%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$12 +147%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $6 +$10 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 +$8 +338%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$6 -67%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $12 −$8 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$7 +301%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14? Jun 12 $6 −$5 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$6 +257%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$19 +770%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$7 +271%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$9 +286%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$7 +358%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$12 +963%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$76
weather 30% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 16? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 16? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 16? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 16? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 16? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 15? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 15? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16? BUY Yes 35¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 15? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 15? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 15? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 15? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 11h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 15? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 12h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $4 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 +19.2% +7.8% 27% 27% +6.9%
≤30d 367 -6.7% -15.6% 23% 23% -6.7%
≤90d 912 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 10% -10.6%
all 912 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 10% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 10% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 10% -19.2%
15% -29.1% 10% -27.0%
20% -36.1% 10% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $243.39 · official $243.45 (match) · 1795 history records