trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 8 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 100% | 12% | +18.1% |
| all | 13 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 92% | 8% | +14.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 8% | +14.2% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 8% | +3.2% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 8% | -6.7% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -15.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | No | 30¢ | 30¢ | $405 | $398 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | May 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 27 | $286 | +$114 | +40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 25? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meet | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Apr 18 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | Apr 18 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Feb 03 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by January 31? | Feb 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January? | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Meta reach $770 in December? | Jan 09 | $15 | $0 | +1% |