trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 64¢ | 64¢ | $436,449 | $439,893 | +$3,443 (+1%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 78¢ | 81¢ | $9,854 | $10,279 | +$425 (+4%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Under | 41¢ | 41¢ | $929 | $929 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | Under | 48¢ | 46¢ | $459 | $440 | −$19 (-4%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 57¢ | 58¢ | $406 | $417 | +$11 (+3%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | Under | 48¢ | 48¢ | $152 | $154 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Over | 48¢ | 67¢ | $106 | $147 | +$42 (+40%) |
| Spread: Iraq (-2.5) | Senegal | 92¢ | 94¢ | $46 | $48 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-2.5) | Brazil | 89¢ | 96¢ | $26 | $28 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Spread: Haiti (-2.5) | Morocco | 92¢ | 95¢ | $21 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 34¢ | 33¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5 | Under | 96¢ | 92¢ | $14 | $13 | −$1 (-5%) |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5 | Under | 92¢ | 95¢ | $12 | $13 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5 | Under | 92¢ | 92¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 59¢ | 0¢ | $4,384 | $0 | −$4,384 (-100%) |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) | Daniel Santos | 48¢ | 0¢ | $290 | $0 | −$290 (-100%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics | Athletics | 57¢ | 0¢ | $2,958 | $0 | −$2,958 (-100%) |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $975 | $0 | −$975 (-100%) |
| Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $1,045 | $0 | −$1,045 (-100%) |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | Houston Astros | 65¢ | 0¢ | $130 | $0 | −$130 (-100%) |
| Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $4,270 | $0 | −$4,270 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 | Under | 24¢ | 0¢ | $384 | $0 | −$384 (-100%) |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) | Minnesota Lynx | 50¢ | 0¢ | $607 | $0 | −$607 (-100%) |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 61¢ | 0¢ | $20,512 | $0 | −$20,512 (-100%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $11,191 | $0 | −$11,191 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4,384 | −$4,384 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car | Jun 12 | $290 | −$290 | -100% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics | Jun 12 | $2,958 | −$2,958 | -100% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5 | Jun 12 | $975 | −$975 | -100% |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5 | Jun 12 | $4,270 | −$4,270 | -100% |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $607 | −$607 | -100% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Jun 12 | $20,512 | −$20,512 | -100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $11,191 | −$11,191 | -100% |
| World Championships: Hungary vs. Latvia | Jun 12 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5) | Jun 12 | $1,904 | −$1,904 | -100% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 | Jun 12 | $1,478 | −$1,478 | -100% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners | Jun 12 | $1,345 | −$1,345 | -100% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $185 | −$185 | -100% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics | Jun 12 | $322 | −$322 | -100% |
| World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia | Jun 12 | $212 | −$212 | -100% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 12 | $1,992 | −$1,992 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | Jun 12 | $943 | −$943 | -100% |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $530 | −$530 | -100% |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 12 | $2,928 | −$2,928 | -100% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky | Jun 12 | $1,330 | −$1,330 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $32,995 | −$32,995 | -100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $2,928 | −$2,928 | -100% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 161.5 | Jun 12 | $357 | −$357 | -100% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | Jun 12 | $119 | −$119 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | Jun 12 | $175 | −$175 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight | Jun 12 | $113 | −$113 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Jun 12 | $700 | −$700 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | Jun 12 | $9,473 | −$9,473 | -100% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5 | Jun 12 | $457 | −$457 | -100% |
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 12 | $396 | −$396 | -100% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $2,238 | −$2,238 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $228 | −$228 | -100% |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5,929 | −$5,929 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 12 | $2,749 | −$2,749 | -100% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Jun 12 | $4,491 | −$4,491 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $48,442 | −$48,442 | -100% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5 | Jun 12 | $3,423 | −$3,423 | -100% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5 | Jun 12 | $1,217 | −$1,217 | -100% |
| World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark | Jun 12 | $189 | −$189 | -100% |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | Jun 12 | $492 | −$492 | -100% |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $421 | −$421 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $362 | −$362 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 | Jun 12 | $457 | −$457 | -100% |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $255 | −$255 | -100% |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 | Jun 12 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Jun 12 | $964 | −$964 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $1 | 6m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $17 | 8m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $8 | 10m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $711 | 11m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $16 | 11m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $17 | 18m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $4 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $6 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $8 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $3 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $4 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $28 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $6 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $6 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $6 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $5 | 20m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $178 | 21m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $17 | 23m |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 34¢ | $283 | 23m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $16 | 26m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $36 | 27m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $2 | 27m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $73 | 31m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $5 | 31m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $2 | 32m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $2 | 32m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $17 | 34m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $14 | 34m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $2 | 34m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $71 | 39m |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 178 | -70.9% | -73.6% | 16% | 15% | -46.2% |
| ≤30d | 188 | -56.8% | -60.9% | 18% | 18% | -42.6% |
| ≤90d | 188 | -56.8% | -60.9% | 18% | 18% | -42.6% |
| all | 188 | -56.8% | -60.9% | 18% | 18% | -42.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -60.9% | 18% | -42.6% |
| 10% | -64.6% | 17% | -48.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -68.1% | 16% | -53.1% |
| 20% | -71.2% | 16% | -57.7% |