trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Canucks vs. Kraken | Kraken | 48¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Predators vs. Blues | Predators | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Ducks vs. Canucks | Ducks | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Bulls | 58¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-20? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Thunder | 60¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-12? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-13? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-13? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Hornets | 38¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Wild vs. Oilers | Oilers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens | Avalanche | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Cavaliers | 70¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-23? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-29? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-02? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-24? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Jun 12 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FCSB end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Magic | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jun 12 | $2 | −$3 | -150% |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Magic | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 671 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 61% | 28% | -20.4% |
| ≤30d | 1092 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 66% | 33% | -17.8% |
| ≤90d | 1092 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 66% | 33% | -17.8% |
| all | 1729 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 59% | 39% | -16.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 39% | -16.9% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 31% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 27% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 24% | -38.7% |