trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 23 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $85 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | May 13 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 06 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 04 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 15 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 12 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 23 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 19 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 13 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 08 | $86 | $0 | +0% |