trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 36% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 36% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 28 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 46% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 23 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $61 | −$2 | -3% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 30 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $59 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 28 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 25 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 23 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25? | Apr 22 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 21 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Apr 21 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | -2% |