trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 0% | 0% | -14.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 0% | 0% | -14.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 40% | 40% | -34.5% |
| all | 178 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 44% | 43% | -24.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 43% | -24.5% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 42% | -31.8% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 40% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 37% | -44.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $100 | $146 | +$46 (+46%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $57 | $59 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $47 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$3 | -5% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5 | Apr 18 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Apr 06 | $10 | +$6 | +64% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Apr 06 | $20 | +$17 | +85% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Mar 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Feb 17 | $6 | +$4 | +70% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 17 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 17 | $7 | +$3 | +47% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Feb 17 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Feb 17 | $3 | +$8 | +270% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Feb 17 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| 76ers vs. Suns | Feb 08 | $5 | +$6 | +122% |
| Hornets vs. Hawks | Feb 08 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Feb 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | Feb 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Heat | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Feb 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Kings | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Feb 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Magic | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Feb 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Magic | Feb 07 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Bulls vs. Raptors | Feb 07 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Feb 07 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 07 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| 76ers vs. Lakers | Feb 07 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Feb 07 | $6 | +$2 | +39% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Feb 07 | $5 | +$4 | +85% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Feb 07 | $6 | +$6 | +92% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Feb 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Feb 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Feb 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Feb 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Feb 05 | $3 | +$4 | +122% |
| Bulls vs. Bucks | Feb 05 | $3 | +$4 | +122% |
| Celtics vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $3 | +$4 | +138% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Feb 05 | $3 | +$4 | +144% |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Feb 05 | $3 | +$4 | +144% |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 05 | $5 | +$4 | +75% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Feb 05 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 7¢ | $48 | 1h |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | SELL Yes | 61¢ | $48 | 1h |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 6¢ | $59 | 4h |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $51 | 2d |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 2¢ | $103 | 2d |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5 | BUY Over | 52¢ | $50 | 62d |
| Kings vs. Hornets | BUY Kings | 7¢ | $10 | 87d |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 54¢ | $20 | 89d |
| Lakers vs. Magic | BUY Lakers | 61¢ | $10 | 90d |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY Warriors | 68¢ | $7 | 131d |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | BUY 76ers | 57¢ | $6 | 131d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 37¢ | $5 | 131d |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | BUY Cavaliers | 49¢ | $5 | 131d |
| Hawks vs. Timberwolves | BUY Hawks | 33¢ | $3 | 131d |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | BUY Kings | 34¢ | $3 | 131d |
| Bucks vs. Magic | BUY Bucks | 28¢ | $5 | 131d |
| Jazz vs. Heat | BUY Heat | 69¢ | $5 | 131d |
| Bulls vs. Nets | BUY Bulls | 53¢ | $6 | 131d |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY Pistons | 59¢ | $6 | 131d |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | BUY Pacers | 26¢ | $1 | 132d |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | BUY Clippers | 27¢ | $3 | 132d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 23¢ | $2 | 132d |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | BUY Knicks | 42¢ | $5 | 132d |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Grizzlies | 27¢ | $5 | 132d |
| Cavaliers vs. Kings | BUY Kings | 17¢ | $1 | 132d |
| 76ers vs. Suns | BUY 76ers | 45¢ | $5 | 132d |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY Warriors | 47¢ | $5 | 132d |
| Nuggets vs. Bulls | BUY Bulls | 30¢ | $1 | 132d |
| Hornets vs. Hawks | BUY Hornets | 55¢ | $10 | 132d |
| Jazz vs. Magic | BUY Jazz | 27¢ | $1 | 132d |