trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.9% |
| all | 16 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 56% | 56% | +13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 56% | +13.9% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 56% | +3.0% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 50% | -7.0% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 38% | -16.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $536 | $502 | −$34 (-6%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $400 | $403 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 57¢ | $105 | $89 | −$16 (-15%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | No | 21¢ | 24¢ | $25 | $29 | +$4 (+16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Jun 21 | $412 | +$298 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Jun 21 | $52 | −$50 | -96% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | Jun 21 | $394 | −$38 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Jun 21 | $310 | −$300 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Jun 21 | $262 | −$255 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Jun 21 | $104 | +$110 | +106% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Jun 21 | $78 | −$75 | -96% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score AND Spain to score first v | Jun 21 | $151 | +$71 | +47% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | +$31 | +31% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs | Jun 21 | $67 | −$64 | -96% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $255 | +$416 | +163% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $303 | +$158 | +52% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $550 | +$403 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |