Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd84b…b6a2
crypto · 1601 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$356 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$356 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1015 / 615
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1630 / 1601
History coverage25d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day96.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1630 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$296
7 days−$282
14 days−$258
30 days−$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 -15.1% -23.2% 53% 53% -40.0%
≤30d 1630 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 40% -15.1%
≤90d 1630 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 40% -15.1%
all 1630 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 40% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 40% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 31% -23.2%
15% -26.7% 25% -30.6%
20% -33.9% 21% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records