Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd84c…07b9
crypto · 585 markets active 68d ago
0.0score
+$4,509 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,509 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$31
Realized+$4,509
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses449 / 197
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)646 / 585
Avg bet$659
Trades / day2909.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $7 $15 +$8 (+117%)
BNB Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+104%)
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+117%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +104%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +104%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +117%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$4,460
other 3% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $87 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $8 68d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $21 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $120 68d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $31 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $15 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $101 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $651 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $742 68d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $487 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $22 68d
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $158 68d
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $401 68d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1,684 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $377 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $103 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $115 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $129 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $281 68d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -46.7% -51.8% 39% 13% -22.5%
≤30d 61 -46.7% -51.8% 39% 13% -22.5%
≤90d 646 -1.6% -11.0% 70% 19% -8.5%
all 646 -1.6% -11.0% 70% 19% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2909.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 19% -8.5%
10% -19.5% 18% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -27.3% 18% -25.2%
20% -34.4% 18% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.77 · official $16.77 · 3500 history records