Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd886…c006
sports · 175 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$330 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$330 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses116 / 59
Est. fees paid−$204
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage90d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$222
14 days+$391
30 days+$391
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Multan Sultans Multan Sultans 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawa Katarzyna Kawa 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spread: Celtics (-7.5) 76ers 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Delhi Capitals 94¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-10? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Trail Blazers 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Cavaliers Pacers 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Spurs 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $349 +$39 +11%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $652 −$304 -47%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $603 +$51 +8%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $477 +$126 +26%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $413 +$65 +16%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $347 +$66 +19%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $301 +$46 +15%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $256 +$45 +18%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Jun 11 $209 +$47 +23%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $381 −$174 -46%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $350 +$33 +10%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $281 +$69 +24%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $254 +$27 +11%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $231 +$22 +10%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $168 +$63 +38%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $51 −$50 -99%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $300 +$73 +24%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 06 $589 −$289 -49%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $529 +$80 +15%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $201 +$328 +164%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout Jun 05 $205 −$3 -2%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $51 −$6 -12%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $150 +$61 +41%
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 04 $157 −$7 -5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $146 +$10 +7%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $251 −$18 -7%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $87 +$38 +44%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 03 $146 −$20 -14%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 03 $154 −$8 -5%
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 03 $147 +$6 +4%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 02 $145 +$2 +2%
Tyler: Landon Ardila vs Tyler Zink Jun 02 $148 −$2 -2%
Centurion 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Giles Hussey Jun 02 $140 +$8 +6%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $80 +$60 +75%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $76 +$4 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $168 +$33 +19%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai Jun 01 $22 $0 -1%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $289 −$106 -37%
Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankin Jun 01 $175 −$25 -14%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $9 −$4 -48%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes May 13 $27 −$23 -83%
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islan May 13 $21 +$6 +30%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights May 13 $34 −$13 -38%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds May 13 $27 +$7 +27%
Tunis: Bernard Tomic vs Aziz Ouakaa May 12 $19 +$7 +37%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $39 −$1 -3%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $35 +$3 +9%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 11 $18 −$16 -92%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres May 10 $63 −$47 -74%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 10 $35 +$29 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$446
other 1% −$84
crypto 0% −$1
weather 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire SELL Dallas Wings 58¢ $389 14m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 51¢ $349 46m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces SELL Las Vegas Aces 49¢ $348 49m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 90¢ $652 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Indiana Fever 99¢ $655 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 91¢ $603 3h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 98¢ $603 22h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 77¢ $477 24h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin SELL FC Bayern Munchen 99¢ $478 30h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY FC Bayern Munchen 85¢ $413 30h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings SELL Dallas Wings 100¢ $413 47h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 84¢ $347 2d
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 96¢ $347 2d
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 83¢ $301 2d
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 97¢ $301 2d
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 82¢ $256 2d
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem SELL Hapoel Tel-Aviv 99¢ $251 2d
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem BUY Hapoel Tel-Aviv 80¢ $209 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 22¢ $208 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 39¢ $381 2d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $383 4d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 91¢ $350 4d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky SELL Atlanta Dream 99¢ $349 4d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky BUY Atlanta Dream 79¢ $281 4d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces SELL Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $281 4d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 90¢ $254 5d
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun SELL New York Liberty 97¢ $254 5d
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun BUY New York Liberty 88¢ $231 5d
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks SELL Los Angeles Sparks 100¢ $231 6d
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks BUY Los Angeles Sparks 72¢ $168 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +9.1% -1.3% 87% 67% -5.7%
≤30d 39 +7.6% -2.7% 64% 44% -5.9%
≤90d 175 -0.7% -10.2% 66% 42% -7.9%
all 175 -0.7% -10.2% 66% 42% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 42% -7.9%
10% -18.8% 30% -16.7%
15% -26.6% 16% -24.8%
20% -33.8% 6% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 399 history records