Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:23:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd896…9815
sports · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,037 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,273 · open −$974
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$840
Realized+$7,273
Unrealized−$974
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses13 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$345
Open positions3
Markets (closed)19 / 172
History coverage14d
Avg bet$367
Trades / day235.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 3 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$517
14 days+$10,811
30 days+$7,273
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 34¢ 44¢ $271 $345 +$74 (+27%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 71¢ 56¢ $407 $324 −$83 (-20%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? Yes 50¢ 31¢ $147 $92 −$56 (-38%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? No 39¢ 69¢ $39 $69 +$30 (+78%)
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win Greek Basketball League? No 77¢ 1¢ $931 $10 −$921 (-99%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 12¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOS 18¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 23¢ 0¢ $735 $0 −$735 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 40¢ 0¢ $3,829 $0 −$3,829 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-1 Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $8,385 −$1,424 -17%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $3,309 +$453 +14%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $690 −$690 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $737 +$106 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $9,576 +$2,049 +21%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1,655 +$126 +8%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,924 −$104 -4%
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? Jun 06 $39 +$4 +11%
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? Jun 06 $207 +$46 +22%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $449 +$77 +17%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 06 $4,801 −$66 -1%
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 06 $5,733 +$820 +14%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? Jun 06 $1,252 +$125 +10%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $2,152 −$320 -15%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $534 +$122 +23%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 01 $6,412 +$6,702 +104%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $3,087 +$2,783 +90%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $3,301 −$3,538 -107%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$7,845
other 45% −$1,547
crypto 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 5¢ $1 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $6 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $7 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $5 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $7 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $7 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $0 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $5 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $5 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $5 2m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 93¢ $9 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 93¢ $5 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $5 3m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $10 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $10 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $16 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $24 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $16 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 4¢ $1 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 4¢ $1 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 4¢ $1 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 90¢ $5 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 92¢ $11 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $6 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -7.5% -16.3% 62% 38% -7.8%
≤30d 19 +24.2% +12.4% 68% 53% +2.8%
≤90d 19 +24.2% +12.4% 68% 53% +2.8%
all 19 +24.2% +12.4% 68% 53% +2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover235.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.4% 53% +2.8%
10% +1.6% 26% -7.1%
15% ← realistic here -8.2% 21% -16.0%
20% -17.2% 21% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $839.71 · official $5,919.21 · 3500 history records