trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +86.4% | +68.7% | 100% | 50% | +69.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 60% | 47% | -2.6% |
| ≤90d | 193 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 50% | 41% | -12.1% |
| all | 1150 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 73% | 42% | -16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 42% | -16.4% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 10% | -24.4% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 9% | -31.7% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 8% | -38.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 16 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $258 | +$70 | +27% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $55 | −$53 | -96% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 02 | $54 | −$52 | -97% |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 29 | $14 | −$13 | -98% |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | May 28 | $352 | +$48 | +14% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 28 | $102 | +$32 | +32% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m | May 28 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30? | May 27 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $14 | +$8 | +55% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 24 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $707 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas S | May 20 | $3 | +$1 | +19% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 12 | $70 | −$69 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $65 | +$5 | +8% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $20 | +$10 | +52% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 09 | $38 | −$3 | -9% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 09 | $45 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | May 09 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | May 09 | $6 | +$4 | +82% |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs | Mar 30 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | Mar 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 30 | $26 | −$3 | -12% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Mar 30 | $35 | +$8 | +22% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Mar 30 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | Mar 30 | $8 | +$7 | +89% |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) | Mar 30 | $7 | +$8 | +113% |
| Predators vs. Lightning | Mar 30 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 30 | $29 | +$46 | +158% |
| Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Mar 30 | $3 | +$7 | +270% |
| New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants | Mar 30 | $8 | +$7 | +84% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterda | Mar 30 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) | Mar 30 | $5 | +$4 | +66% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 30 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam | Mar 29 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |
| Capitals vs. Golden Knights | Mar 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Flames | Mar 29 | $9 | +$5 | +59% |
| Spread: Suns (-17.5) | Mar 29 | $4 | +$4 | +113% |
| Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Mar 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Mar 29 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Mar 29 | $37 | −$24 | -63% |
| Devils vs. Hurricanes | Mar 29 | $3 | +$2 | +56% |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 | Mar 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Mar 29 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 4.5 | Mar 29 | $8 | +$1 | +10% |
| Flyers vs. Red Wings | Mar 29 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Mar 29 | $2 | +$3 | +222% |
| Stars vs. Penguins | Mar 28 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |