Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:47:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D8 0xd8dd…c30e crypto 841 markets active 1h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$665 (-4%) realized −$665 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate73%610W / 231L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day49.4pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$29
14 days−$535
30 days−$746
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,061
other 3% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -2.5% -11.8% 70% 57% -9.1%
≤30d 572 -5.2% -14.3% 69% 46% -13.8%
≤90d 841 -5.0% -14.1% 73% 45% -14.7%
all 841 -5.0% -14.1% 73% 45% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 45% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 24% -22.9%
15% -29.8% 15% -30.3%
20% -36.7% 9% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$22 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$665
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses610 / 231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)841 / 841
History coverage37d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 841 Trades
no open positions (116 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $46 −$40 -87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$10 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$33 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$6 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $101 −$18 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$10 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $96 −$15 -16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $97 −$63 -65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$36 -72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$24 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $48 +$55 +115%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$12 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$32 -63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$23 +39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$33 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$36 -72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$3 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$7 -68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$6 -58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$22 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$19 +39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $145 +$59 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$27 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $57 −$32 -55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$9 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$16 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$15 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$3 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$6 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$13 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $44 +$24 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$5 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$5 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$16 -53%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$30 -59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$30 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $6 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $46 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 55m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $30 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $22 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2282 history records