Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd901…8e14
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$218 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$595
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$127
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses40 / 36
Open positions5
Markets (closed)76 / 80
History coverage1d
Avg bet$178
Trades / day3422.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $316 $390 +$74 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 85¢ 86¢ $89 $90 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $29 $38 +$9 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 55¢ 50¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 77¢ 80¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 55¢ 14¢ $51 $13 −$38 (-74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 42¢ 50¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 35¢ 20¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $74 $1 −$73 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $305 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $502 −$19 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$12 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $255 −$45 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $339 −$68 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $238 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $343 −$41 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $258 +$21 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $271 +$13 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$15 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $496 +$30 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$3 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$6 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $272 −$119 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $332 +$12 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $337 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $113 −$7 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $489 +$60 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $481 −$128 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$9 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $212 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $129 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $339 +$19 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$13 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $340 +$20 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$10 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $237 +$26 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$16 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $469 −$75 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $475 −$55 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $467 +$51 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$10 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$219
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $13 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +9.7% -0.8% 53% 24% -10.1%
≤30d 76 +9.7% -0.8% 53% 24% -10.1%
≤90d 76 +9.7% -0.8% 53% 24% -10.1%
all 76 +9.7% -0.8% 53% 24% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3422.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.8% 24% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 7% -18.7%
15% -18.9% 5% -26.6%
20% -26.9% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $595.00 · official $590.77 (match) · 3500 history records