Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:13:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd90e…03b6
crypto · 760 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$608 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$748 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$748
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses380 / 746
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1126 / 760
History coverage20d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day120.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 1126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$799
7 days−$843
14 days−$938
30 days−$748
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 52% −$338
crypto 20% +$28
world 13% −$18
politics 9% −$32
other 5% −$92
sports 1% −$1
tech 0% −$1
culture 0% −$1
economics 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 14? SELL No 59¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 14? BUY No 59¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 42¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 42¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL Yes 89¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL Yes 89¢ $12 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 42¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 42¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 43¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL Yes 90¢ $4 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $4 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL Yes 91¢ $7 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $7 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL Yes 91¢ $7 1h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $7 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 12¢ $2 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 40¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL Yes 28¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 29¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 43¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-47.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 650 -83.9% -85.5% 2% 0% -26.4%
≤30d 1126 -41.9% -47.5% 34% 19% -17.0%
≤90d 1126 -41.9% -47.5% 34% 19% -17.0%
all 1126 -41.9% -47.5% 34% 19% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.5% 19% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -52.5% 15% -25.0%
15% -57.1% 9% -32.2%
20% -61.3% 6% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.06 · official $0.06 (match) · 3500 history records