trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -48.7% | -53.6% | 29% | 14% | -85.1% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -41.5% | -47.1% | 35% | 26% | -82.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -41.5% | -47.1% | 35% | 26% | -82.6% |
| all | 23 | -41.5% | -47.1% | 35% | 26% | -82.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.1% | 26% | -82.6% |
| 10% | -52.1% | 17% | -84.3% |
| 15% | -56.8% | 17% | -85.8% |
| 20% | -61.0% | 13% | -87.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 19 | $207 | +$20 | +10% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 19 | $205 | −$16 | -8% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $216 | +$16 | +7% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $432 | −$28 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 18 | $103 | +$79 | +76% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5,593 | −$5,550 | -99% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $504 | +$200 | +40% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $4,176 | −$100 | -2% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,539 | −$2,510 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $988 | −$988 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $253 | −$253 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | May 26 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25? | May 25 | $20 | +$3 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET | May 25 | $47 | −$45 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | May 25 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET | May 25 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | May 25 | $103 | +$59 | +57% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET | May 25 | $39 | +$5 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET | May 25 | $78 | +$111 | +142% |