Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd91e…bf1d
crypto · 952 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$836 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$833 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$210
Realized−$833
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses926 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)951 / 952
History coverage7d
Avg bet$162
Trades / day344.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 951 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$216
7 days−$1,173
14 days−$833
30 days−$833
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 85¢ 84¢ $213 $210 −$4 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $263 $0 −$263 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $287 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $279 +$11 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $285 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $276 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$4 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $303 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $254 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $146 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $285 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $285 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $279 +$11 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $223 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $285 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $226 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$878
other 2% +$45
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $277 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $277 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $272 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $277 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $270 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $137 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $277 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $277 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $275 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $110 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 821 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 951 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 951 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 0% -10.0%
all 951 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover344.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $209.62 · official $209.62 (match) · 3500 history records