Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd92c…c091
crypto · 1706 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$53 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1637 / 85
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1722 / 1706
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day159.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1722 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$82
14 days−$53
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 891 -2.7% -12.0% 93% 7% -11.2%
≤30d 1722 -1.5% -10.9% 95% 4% -10.0%
≤90d 1722 -1.5% -10.9% 95% 4% -10.0%
all 1722 -1.5% -10.9% 95% 4% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover159.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 4% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 0% -18.6%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.5%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.03 · official $1.97 (match) · 3500 history records