trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 36% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 21% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 21% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 28 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 43% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $39 | $40 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $21 | −$2 | -9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $18 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $53 | $0 | +1% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 13 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $21 | $0 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 09 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $123 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jun 27 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 22 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on March 3? | Mar 03 | $7 | $0 | -3% |
| San José State vs. Utah State | Mar 03 | $6 | +$1 | +14% |