Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:32:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd946…2c68
crypto · 1757 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,236 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,144 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1657 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2177 / 1757
History coverage36d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day51.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2177 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,356
7 days−$2,315
14 days−$2,278
30 days−$2,186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$289
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 989 -42.9% -48.3% 54% 5% -47.3%
≤30d 1982 -20.2% -27.8% 74% 9% -28.2%
≤90d 2177 -18.0% -25.8% 76% 10% -26.3%
all 2177 -18.0% -25.8% 76% 10% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.8% 10% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 4% -33.4%
15% -39.4% 2% -39.8%
20% -45.3% 2% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records