Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd94b…83e5
crypto · 1609 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1481 / 128
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1609 / 1609
History coverage114d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1609 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -1.2% -10.6% 89% 50% -10.0%
≤30d 340 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 36% -9.1%
≤90d 885 +0.7% -8.9% 93% 19% -8.8%
all 1609 +0.3% -9.3% 92% 10% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 10% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.52 · official $2.19 (match) · 3500 history records