Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:29:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd955…fb9f
crypto · 1504 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,670 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,671 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$1,671
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1295 / 531
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1826 / 1504
History coverage12d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day182.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1826 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,719
7 days−$1,689
14 days−$1,671
30 days−$1,671
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$253
other 1% +$165
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $31 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $31 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $30 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $31 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1283 -28.7% -35.5% 64% 14% -13.9%
≤30d 1826 -21.2% -28.7% 71% 16% -13.1%
≤90d 1826 -21.2% -28.7% 71% 16% -13.1%
all 1826 -21.2% -28.7% 71% 16% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover182.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.7% 16% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -35.5% 9% -21.4%
15% -41.7% 6% -29.0%
20% -47.5% 3% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.18 · official $17.18 (match) · 3500 history records