Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd957…c5ff
crypto · 69 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$1,833 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,638 · open −$195
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,775
Realized−$1,638
Unrealized−$195
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses51 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)66 / 69
History coverage738d
Avg bet$6,396
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16,451
7 days+$16,451
14 days+$35,916
30 days+$35,916
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5,940 $5,885 −$55 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5,670 $5,635 −$35 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3,360 $3,255 −$105 (-3%)
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,857 $0 −$1,857 (-100%)
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $15,842 $0 −$15,842 (-100%)
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL T1 28¢ 0¢ $498 $0 −$498 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $14,570 $0 −$14,570 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,015 $0 −$1,015 (-100%)
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $666 $0 −$666 (-100%)
LoL: GEN vs. T1 T1 27¢ 0¢ $26,109 $0 −$26,109 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 19? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $22,187 $0 −$22,187 (-100%)
LoL: HLE vs T1 T1 23¢ 0¢ $10,004 $0 −$10,004 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11,183 +$16,451 +147%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $1,055 −$1,015 -96%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $25,927 +$20,480 +79%
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? Feb 25 $666 −$666 -100%
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? Dec 29 $16,112 −$15,842 -98%
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Dec 29 $19,033 −$2,877 -15%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Dec 29 $7,341 −$1,584 -22%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Dec 28 $9,712 −$364 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4? Nov 04 $14,570 −$14,570 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3? Nov 03 $5,109 +$1,108 +22%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 2? Nov 03 $2,628 +$3 +0%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $1,998 +$631 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 31? Nov 02 $1,989 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 29? Oct 30 $1,986 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27? Oct 29 $1,984 +$2 +0%
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch? Oct 27 $1,919 +$65 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 18? Oct 24 $1,904 +$15 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 16? Oct 18 $1,902 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 15? Oct 16 $1,900 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 13? Oct 15 $1,296 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 9? Oct 11 $1,296 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 6? Oct 08 $1,292 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 3? Oct 06 $1,292 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 2? Oct 03 $1,289 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 30? Oct 02 $1,232 +$52 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 29? Sep 30 $1,233 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 26? Sep 29 $1,203 +$16 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on September 22? Sep 25 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on September 22? Sep 25 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on September 22? Sep 25 $28 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 22? Sep 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 22? Sep 25 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $220 on September 22? Sep 25 $896 +$17 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 21? Sep 22 $66 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 21? Sep 22 $850 +$3 +0%
LoL: GEN vs. T1 Sep 21 $29,918 −$24,459 -82%
Will the price of Solana be above $230 on September 21 at 12AM ET? Sep 21 $28 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19? Sep 20 $56,054 +$163 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 19? Sep 19 $22,187 −$22,187 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 18? Sep 18 $5,110 +$104 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 18? Sep 18 $20,136 +$1,798 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 17? Sep 18 $10,566 +$334 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 15? Sep 16 $3,960 +$485 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 15? Sep 16 $6,076 +$44 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on September 14? Sep 15 $578 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 14? Sep 15 $920 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 14? Sep 15 $1,858 +$2 +0%
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? Sep 15 $2,098 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 14? Sep 15 $4,427 +$16 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 14? Sep 15 $26 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 42% −$33,567
politics 25% +$62,023
other 21% −$2,075
sports 12% −$25,500
tech 1% −$2,714
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2,190 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5,702 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3,412 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3,832 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $27,633 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $40 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $11,142 18h
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $337 8d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 8d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $54 8d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $416 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $18,234 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $2,990 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $6,622 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $19 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $19 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $1 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $192 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $24 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $15 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $2,588 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $55 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $278 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $13,403 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $96 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $1,872 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $36 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $13,380 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 96¢ $985 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 6¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +147.1% +123.6% 100% 100% +123.6%
≤30d 3 +42.0% +28.5% 67% 67% +75.7%
≤90d 3 +42.0% +28.5% 67% 67% +75.7%
all 66 +8.2% -2.1% 77% 17% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 17% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 12% -18.5%
15% -20.0% 9% -26.4%
20% -27.8% 9% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,774.99 · official $14,774.99 (match) · 607 history records