Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:05:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd97a…c068 crypto 309 markets active 0h ago coverage 168d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$306 (-2%) realized −$306 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate90%278W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day14.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$132
7 days−$7
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$19
tech 11% −$190
weather 2% +$16
sports 1% −$129
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -0.9% -10.4% 92% 1% -9.6%
≤30d 286 -0.7% -10.2% 93% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 291 -2.3% -11.6% 91% 1% -9.7%
all 309 -2.2% -11.5% 90% 3% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 3% -11.5%
10% -20.0% 2% -20.0%
15% -27.7% 2% -27.7%
20% -34.8% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$18 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.41 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

168d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$306
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses278 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)309 / 309
History coverage168d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 309 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 22 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 22 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $65 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $65 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $64 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 22 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 21 $44 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 21 $40 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 21 $34 −$16 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $19 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2675 history records