Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:29:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd982…ae8a
crypto · 622 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$602 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$602 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$602
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses291 / 331
Open positions0
Markets (closed)622 / 622
Avg bet$18
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$178
7 days+$54
14 days−$177
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$48 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$28 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$55 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $44 −$43 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$28 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$10 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$18 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$32 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$16 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$40 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$40 +347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$18 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$27 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $57 +$17 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $100 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $172 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$47 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$37 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $65 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$19 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$602
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $35 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $14 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $17 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -9.3% -18.0% 54% 49% -8.6%
≤30d 481 -11.0% -19.4% 50% 46% -11.7%
≤90d 622 -8.6% -17.3% 47% 43% -14.5%
all 622 -8.6% -17.3% 47% 43% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 43% -14.5%
10% -25.2% 39% -22.7%
15% -32.4% 34% -30.2%
20% -39.1% 27% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1234 history records