Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd98a…a403
crypto · 571 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$41 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses308 / 263
Open positions0
Markets (closed)571 / 571
History coverage30d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$16
14 days+$13
30 days+$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +126%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$39
other 18% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 54m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -2.6% -11.9% 56% 54% -8.3%
≤30d 569 -3.5% -12.6% 54% 53% -8.3%
≤90d 571 -3.5% -12.7% 54% 53% -8.3%
all 571 -3.5% -12.7% 54% 53% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 53% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 46% -17.0%
15% -28.6% 37% -25.1%
20% -35.6% 27% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1070 history records