Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:29:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd98c…87e7
crypto · 315 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses176 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)315 / 315
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 315 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$45
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -11.0% -19.5% 47% 33% -18.1%
≤30d 315 -8.1% -16.9% 56% 38% -13.7%
≤90d 315 -8.1% -16.9% 56% 38% -13.7%
all 315 -8.1% -16.9% 56% 38% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 38% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 15% -22.0%
15% -32.1% 6% -29.5%
20% -38.7% 3% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 629 history records