Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd98f…f1fa
other · 222 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses10 / 211
Whale WR (big bets)8%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)221 / 222
History coverage122d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 1 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$13
14 days−$21
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $191 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $400 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $130 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $192 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $121 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $358 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $173 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $208 $0 +0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $542 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $55 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $243 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $183 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $169 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 09 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $243 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $306 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $206 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $361 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $307 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $312 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $344 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $221 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $317 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $258 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $632 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $361 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $331 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $557 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $466 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $384 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $526 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $391 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $59 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $554 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $231 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $120 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 01 $286 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $384 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $83 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $60 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $275 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $359 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $61 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $61 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $226 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $207 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $552 $0 +0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $124 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$34
sports 23% −$16
politics 11% −$6
economics 6% −$4
crypto 5% −$2
culture 4% −$4
world 3% −$1
tech 1% −$9
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 1h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $53 2h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $53 4h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 8h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 10h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $53 11h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $53 13h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $53 15h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $54 17h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $54 22h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $54 24h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 25h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 28h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 28h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 30h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $54 32h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $54 34h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $54 35h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $54 37h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 39h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 41h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 41h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 42h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $41 45h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $41 47h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $54 2d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $55 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 221 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.91 · official $52.91 (match) · 1213 history records